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Today · AUG 20 · 9 games
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Today's Free Read

#6 on today's board · free, in full
#6Lean
8:10 PM ET
LAARodriguez
HOULambert
@
Daikin Park · 90°F · 7mph Out
NRFI Probability
52%
Model Score
59
LEAN NRFI
0League avg ~50%100
Why this play
  • Away · runs per game, last 73.17 (6g)
  • Home · starter career NRFI75% (30/40)
  • Away · starter career NRFI73% (51/70)
Key Signals
LAA ice-cold bats (5/5 NRFI L5)Hot 90°F
Fair Price
-10852%
Tracked
SP NRFI
SP L5
vs Opp
Team
Team L5
Grayson Rodriguez
Angels×7
Grayson Rodriguez›
73%
51/70
60%
3/5
75%
3/4
50%
76/152
100%
5/5
Peter Lambert
Astros×2
Peter Lambert›×2
75%
30/40
60%
3/5
50%
1/2
49%
73/150
40%
2/5
Matchup Splits
Angels
Rodriguez On Road64%33g
Team On Road51%76g
Rodriguez Night74%39g
Team Night50%445g
Astros
Lambert @ Home80%20g
Team @ Home51%78g
Lambert Night74%23g
Team Night50%447g
Head-to-Head NRFI Hit Rate
All-time61%31/51
This season50%6/12
Last 540%2/5
Last 367%2/3

% = how often a meeting matched the row's scope ended NRFI. Higher = friendlier matchup for the under.

Pitcher Matchup

LAAHOU
Grayson Rodriguez
Grayson Rodriguez
LAA
73%NRFI
vs HOU · 3/4 NRFI1st ERA 4.50
vs
Peter Lambert
Peter Lambert
HOU
75%NRFI
YRFI ×2vs LAA · 1/2 NRFI1st ERA 3.15
NRFI%1st ERAWHIPL10L5vs OppRoadL5 R/1
Head-to-head Breakdown
LAA team
NRFI 50% (76/152)L5 5/5R/G 4.16OPS .682K 25%
HOU team
NRFI 49% (73/150)L5 2/5R/G 4.55OPS .728K 22%

Every axis is computed from completed-game first-inning data. Tap any axis or row to see what it measures.

Grayson Rodriguez
Angels
Grayson Rodriguez
R/G season
4.16
R/G last 7
3.17
OPS
.682
K%
25.2%
BB%
8.4%
SP 1st-inn ERA (career)
4.50
SP 1st-inn ERA (2026)
6.75
SP career NRFI%
73%
SP season NRFI%
69%
SP last 3
2/3
SP last 5
3/5
SP last 10
6/10
Mike Trout
.819
Nolan Schanuel
.743
Zach Neto
.717
Peter Lambert
Astros
Peter Lambert
R/G season
4.55
R/G last 7
4.20
OPS
.728
K%
21.5%
BB%
8.8%
SP 1st-inn ERA (career)
3.15
SP 1st-inn ERA (2026)
2.45
SP career NRFI%
75%
SP season NRFI%
77%
SP last 3
1/3
SP last 5
3/5
SP last 10
8/10
Yordan Alvarez
1.040
Isaac Paredes
.775
Christian Walker
.748
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